ECB Lane Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

80000000000cf

Natural Gas Stocks Change refers to the weekly change of the natural gas supply situation.

NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months

Fed Barkin Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Fed Hammack Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Unit Labour Costs QoQ Prel

1.2%

Labor Costs refers to the relationship between compensation per hour and labor productivity, or real output per hour, and can be used as an indicator of inflationary pressure on producers.

Continuing Jobless Claims

1701000

Continuing Jobless Claims refer to actual number of unemployed and currently receiving unemployment benefits who filed for unemployment benefits at least two weeks ago.

Jobless Claims 4-week Average

196750

Initial Jobless Claims

194000

Initial jobless claims refer to the number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits with their state's unemployment agency for the first time during a specific reporting period, typically on a weekly basis. .

CNB Interest Rate Decision

3.75%

In Czech Republic benchmark interest rate is set by the Czech National Bank (Ceská Národní Bank CNB). The official interest rate is the two-week repo rate, a rate at which commercial banks are allowed to place excess funds at the end of the day with the Central Bank.

S&P Global Composite PMI

47.4

In Brazil, the Markit Brazil Composite PMI Index tracks business trends across both the manufacturing and service sector activity, based on data collected from a representative panel of around 800 companies. The index tracks variables such as sales, new orders, employment, inventories and prices. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in business activity and below 50 indicates that it is generally declining. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

S&P Global Services PMI

49.2

The Markit Brazil Services PMI is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questionnaires sent to purchasing executives in around 350 private service sector companies. The Index tracks variables such as sales, employment, inventories and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates an overall increase in that variable, below 50 an overall decrease. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

Gross Fixed Investment YoY

6.6%

Mexico’s Gross Fixed Investment measures the annual change in spending on fixed assets—both tangible and intangible—used in production for more than one year. The calculation includes machinery and equipment (new domestic products and both new and used imports), construction (valued at the buyer’s cost), transport equipment, software, intellectual property, and upgrades that extend asset life or increase capacity. This indicator reflects the total value of investments aimed at expanding or maintaining the country’s productive capacity.

Gross Fixed Investment MoM

1.4%

Mexico’s Gross Fixed Investment measures the monthly change in spending on fixed assets—both tangible and intangible—used in production for more than one year. The calculation includes machinery and equipment (new domestic products and both new and used imports), construction (valued at the buyer’s cost), transport equipment, software, intellectual property, and upgrades that extend asset life or increase capacity. This indicator reflects the total value of investments aimed at expanding or maintaining the country’s productive capacity.

MPC Meeting Minutes

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

BoE MPC Vote Cut

0/9

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

BoE MPC Vote Hike

3/9

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

BoE Monetary Policy Report

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

BoE MPC Vote Unchanged

6/9

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

BoE Interest Rate Decision

3.75%

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

Industrial Production YoY

-1.2%

In Brazil, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy, such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Industrial Production MoM

-0.6%

In Brazil, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy, such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

59045000000

In Turkey, Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to gross foreign exchange reserves held or controlled by the country's central bank, excluding gold.

New Car Registrations YoY

9%

Challenger Job Cuts

43281

Challenger Job-Cut Report provides information on the number of announced corporate layoffs by industry and region.

Summary of the Key Rate Discussion

In Russia, interest rate decisions are taken by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. From September 16th of 2013, the official interest rate is the one-week auction repo rate. Until September 15th of 2013, the official interest rate was the refinancing rate, which was seen as a ceiling for borrowing money and a benchmark for calculating tax payments.

12-Month DTB Auction

5.09%

Consumer Confidence

84.1

In Spain, the Consumer Confidence survey is made by phone and covers 1,000 individuals aged over 16 who are representative of Spanish society as a whole. The questionnaire focuses on current economic and financial situation, savings intention as well as on expected developments regarding general and personal economic situation and major purchases of durable goods. The index shows the difference between the percentage share of persons that are optimistic and the percentage of persons that are pessimistic. The index measures consumer confidence on a scale of 0 to 200, where 0 indicates extreme lack of confidence, 100 neutrality and 200 extreme confidence.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.74%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

2036 OAT Auction

4.93%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

2043 OAT Auction

3.94%

Inflation Rate YoY

3.69%

In Cyprus, the most important category in the consumer price index is Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (19 percent of total weight). Transport accounts for 15 percent; Housing and Utilities for 11 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent; Restaurants and Hotels for 8 percent and Clothing and Footwear for 7 percent. Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Health; Recreation and Culture; Communication; Education and Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco account for the remaining 30 percent of total weight.

2057 OAT Auction

4.55%

PPI YoY

8.2%

In the Euro Area, producer prices change measures the average change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

PPI MoM

1.9%

In the Euro Area, producer prices change measures the average change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

2038 OAT Auction

5.06%

Foreign Exchange Reserves

255950000000

In Mexico, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

7-Year Index-Linked Obligacion Auction

1.96%

5-Year Bonos Auction

3.482%

10-Year Obligacion Auction

4.176%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

15-Year Obligacion Auction

3.813%

S&P Global Construction PMI

46.1

In the United Kingdom, the Markit / Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply Purchasing Managers Index measures the performance of the construction sector and is derived from a survey of 170 construction companies. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

New Car Sales YoY

12.1%

Retail Sales MoM

0.3%

In Italy, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Italy, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

0.5%

In Italy, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision

4.5%

In Norway, benchmark interest rate is set by the Central Bank of Norway (Norges Bank). The official interest rate is the key policy rate, also known as sight deposit rate.

Forex Interventions

279400000000

Russia Foreign Currency Intervention refers to the volume of foreign currency and gold that the Russian Ministry of Finance plans to purchase or sell on the domestic foreign exchange market under the budget mechanism linked to oil and gas revenues. The operations are intended to account for deviations in actual and expected oil and gas revenues from their baseline levels, with purchases or sales determined by the resulting budget revenue adjustments. The transactions are conducted over a specified period, with the Ministry announcing the total amount and corresponding daily transaction volume in rubles.

S&P Global Construction PMI

43.5

The Germany Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index® is based on original survey data collected from a representative panel of over 200 companies based in the German construction sector. Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of construction conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the construction activity is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

S&P Global Construction PMI

43.4

Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of business conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the economy is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

S&P Global Construction PMI

39.8

Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of business conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the economy is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

S&P Global Construction PMI

46.5

Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month based on data collected mid-month. For each of the indicators the ‘Report' shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of higher/better responses and lower/worse responses, and the ‘diffusion' index. This index is the sum of the positive responses plus a half of those responding ‘the same'. Diffusion indexes have the properties of leading indicators and are convenient summary measures showing the prevailing direction of change. An index reading above 50 indicates an overall increase in that variable, below 50 an overall decrease. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

ECB Schnabel Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

Unemployment Rate

3%

In Switzerland, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Retail Sales MoM

0.2%

In Czech Republic, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Czech Republic, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

4.3%

In Czech Republic, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Industrial Production MoM

-0.3%

In France, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 86 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food products and beverages (13 percent of total production); machinery and equipment goods (13 percent), of which computer, electronic and optical products (5 percent); basic metals and fabricated metal products (12 percent); other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (12 percent); transport equipment (10 percent); rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products (8 percent); and chemicals and chemical products (6 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 11 percent of total output, Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation account for 1 percent and Mining and quarrying account also for 1 percent.

S&P Global PMI

49

In South Africa, the IHS Markit South Africa Purchasing Managers Index tracks business trends across private sector activity, including mining, manufacturing, services, construction and retail based on data collected from a representative panel of around 400 companies. The index tracks variables such as new orders, output, employment, supplier delivery times, inventories and prices. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in business activity and below 50 indicates that it is generally declining. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

Factory Orders MoM

-10.6%

Factory Orders in Germany are reported using monthly changes in the volume of new orders received by manufacturers. Factory Order figures in Germany can be very volatile and misleading because they are heavily affected by geopolitical events, temporary shocks in demand and business deals which may only happen once.

CPIF YoY Prel

1.5%

As of September 2017, the Riksbank uses the CPIF, the consumer price index with a fixed interest rate, as target variable for the inflation target. According to the central bank, "From a monetary policy perspective, one disadvantage of the CPI is that it is directly affected by changes in the policy rate. These adjustments have, through their impact on mortgage rates, large and direct effects on the CPI which are not connected to underlying inflationary pressures".

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

1.1%

In Sweden, the most important categories in the Consumer Price Index is Housing & Utilities (24% of the total weight). Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages account for 14%; Transport for 13%; Recreation & Culture for 13%; Miscellaneous Goods & Services for 8%; and Furniture, Household Goods & Maintenance (7%). Others also includes: Restaurant & Hotels (6%), Clothing & Footwear (4%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (4%), Health (4%), Communications (3%), and Education (0.30%).

House Price Index MoM

2%

In Sweden, the Real Estate Price Index estimates development of prices and values of the existing stock of one- or two-dwelling buildings. The index takes into consideration that the houses sold may not be a random sample of the housing stock and that the mix or composition of houses may vary from one quarter/year to the next. One- or two-dwelling buildings for permanent dwelling include detached one- or two-dwelling buildings, terraced houses and linked buildings.

CPIF MoM Prel

0.9%

As of September 2017, the Riksbank uses the CPIF, the consumer price index with a fixed interest rate, as target variable for the inflation target. According to the central bank, "From a monetary policy perspective, one disadvantage of the CPI is that it is directly affected by changes in the policy rate. These adjustments have, through their impact on mortgage rates, large and direct effects on the CPI which are not connected to underlying inflationary pressures".

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

0.9%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

S&P Global Services PMI

51.3

The Markit Russia Services PMI is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questionnaires sent to purchasing executives in over 300 private service sector companies. The Index tracks variables such as sales, employment, inventories and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates an overall increase in that variable, below 50 an overall decrease. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

S&P Global Composite PMI

50.8

In Russia, the Markit Russia Composite Output Index tracks business trends across private sector activity, based on data collected from a representative panel of around 300 companies. The index tracks variables such as sales, new orders, employment, inventories and prices. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in business activity and below 50 indicates that it is generally declining. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact [email protected] for more details.

Retail Sales MoM

-1%

In Singapore, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Singapore, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

0.7%

In Singapore, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ

3.73%

Indonesian economy is the largest in South East Asia. The country has been growing steady in the last few years mostly due to high domestic consumption and growth in exports of manufactured products and commodities.

GDP Growth Rate YoY

5.29%

Indonesia is the largest economy in South East Asia. Industry accounts for the largest share of GDP (46.5 percent of total GDP). Within industry, the most important is manufacturing, which has been one of the main growth engines (24 percent of total output). Mining and quarrying accounts for 12 percent, construction for 10 percent and electricity, gas and water supply for 0.75 percent. Services constitute 38 percent of total GDP. Within services, the most important are: trade, hotel and restaurants (around 14 percent of GDP); transport and communication (7 percent of GDP); finance, real estate and business services (7 percent of GDP) and government services (6 percent). Agriculture accounts for the remaining 15 percent.

10-Year JGB Auction

3.101%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

S&P Global Services PMI Final

51.3

The S&P Global Japan Services PMI is a monthly indicator of economic activity in Japan’s service sector, based on survey responses from around 400 companies across industries such as transport, finance, communication, real estate, and business services (excluding retail). Respondents report changes relative to the previous month, and results are presented as diffusion indices, ranging from 0 to 100. An index above 50 signals growth, while below 50 indicates contraction. The main metric is the Services Business Activity Index, reflecting changes in business activity volume and serving as the headline figure. While sometimes called the "Services PMI," it is not directly comparable to the headline Manufacturing PMI, but aligns more closely with the Manufacturing Output Index.

S&P Global Composite PMI Final

52.3

The S&P Global Japan Composite PMI Output Index is a key indicator of overall private sector business activity in Japan. It is calculated as a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index, with weights reflecting the relative size of each sector based on official GDP data. The index draws on survey responses from a representative panel of approximately 800 companies across the manufacturing and services sectors. Although often referred to as the ‘Composite PMI’, this index should not be confused with the headline Manufacturing PMI, as it uniquely captures output trends across both sectors. The Composite Output Index tracks key variables including sales, new orders, employment, inventories, and prices. It is presented as a diffusion index ranging from 0 to 100, where a reading above 50 signals overall growth compared to the previous month, and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.

Balance of Trade

495000000

Australia has been recording consistent trade surpluses since 2017 due to rise in a resource exports like natural gas, metal ores and minerals, coal, coke and briquettes, and rural goods such as meat and cereals. The biggest trade surpluses are recorded with China, Hong Kong and Japan, and New Zealand while the biggest trade deficits are with the United States, Singapore, South Korea, Malaysia, and Thailand.

Exports MoM

3.7%

Rich in natural resources, Australia is a major exporter of commodities. Metalliferous ores and metal scrap account for 29 percent of total exports; coal, coke and briquettes for 15 percent; and gas for 7 percent. The country also exports: food and live animals (14 percent), mainly meat (5 percent) and cereals (4 percent); manufactured goods (6 percent), mainly non-ferrous metals (4 percent); and machinery and transport equipment (6 percent). Australia's largest export markets are China (32 percent of total exports), Japan (16 percent), South Korea (7 percent), the US (5 percent), India (4 percent), New Zealand, Singapore and Taiwan (3 percent each).

Imports MoM

5.8%

Australia imports mainly machinery and transport equipment (40 percent of total imports), of which road vehicles account for 12 percent, industrial machinery for 6 percent, electrical machinery for 5 percent and telecommunications and sound recording for 5 percent.The country also imports: petroleum (11 percent); manufactured goods (12 percent); chemicals and related products (10 percent); and food and live animals (5 percent). Main import partners are China (23 percent of total imports), the US (11 percent), Japan (7 percent), South Korea, Thailand and Germany (5 percent each) and Malaysia (4 percent).

BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

In Japan, interest rates are set by the Bank of Japan's Policy Board in its Monetary Policy Meetings. The BoJ's official interest rate is the discount rate. Monetary Policy Meetings produce a guideline for money market operations in inter-meeting periods and this guideline is written in terms of a target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate.

Current Account

46110000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Interest Rate Decision

13.75%

In Brazil, interest rate decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM). The official interest rate is the Special System of Clearance and Custody rate (SELIC) which is the overnight lending rate.

Total Vehicle Sales

16000000

In the United States, Total Light Vehicle Sales measures the annualized number of new vehicles sold domestically in the reported month.

Fiscal Balance

-737300000000

In Mexico, the public budget includes, not only government expenses and revenues, but also financial balance of entities under indirect budgetary control, and external and internal financing requirement.

Net Payrolls

165830

In Brazil, net payrolls refer to the change in total formal employment, that is, the difference between admitted and dismissed.

5-Year Bond Auction

3.574%

17-Week Bill Auction

4.14%

Atlanta Fed GDPNow

Atlanta Fed GDPNow is a real-time model from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta that provides a “nowcast” of US real GDP growth for the current quarter before the official estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The model estimates 13 GDP subcomponents: personal consumption expenditures; private fixed investment; change in private inventories; exports; imports; federal government consumption and investment; and state and local government consumption and investment, with several categories further broken down into underlying components. GDPNow is updated as new economic data are released, typically six or seven times a month, and produces a data-driven estimate with no subjective adjustments. It is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed or the Federal Reserve.